Sunday, July 29, 2012

Whisper Numbers Show Continued Confidence for Earnings

Investors are looking for positive results from all but P&G this week as we provide an earnings preview of Ford (F), Procter & Gamble (PG), Dow Chemical (DOW), Exxon (XOM)
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Ford (F):
The whisper number is $0.40 three cents above the analysts estimates. Ford has exceeded the whisper number in 25 of the 34 earnings reports we have data, including the past four out of five quarters. It's hard to believe that at the beginning of 2009 you could have purchased Ford stock for under $2.00 a share (the current share price is about $13.50). What's not surprising is that the whisper number (investors expectation) is very positive. Ford reports earnings 10/26.

Procter & Gamble (PG):
The whisper number is 0.98, a penny below the analysts estimates. P&G has exceeded the whisper number in only 19 of the 35 earnings reports we have data, but fallen short in the past two quarters. The company did experience a positive price move in a few trading days following last report, and is up 6% since that report. We're surprised investors aren't more positive for this quarter's earnings. PG reports earnings 10/27.

Dow Chemical (DOW):
The whisper number is $0.48, seven cents ahead of the analysts estimates. Dow has exceeded the whisper number in 17 of the 28 earnings reports we have data, including the past five out of six quarters. But the stock has seen (short term) negative price movement following each of the last four reports. So why are investor expectations showing such confidence in this quarter's earnings? More than likely because of the recent 15% run up in stock price since last report. DOW reports earnings 10/28.

Exxon (XOM):
The whisper number is $1.47, eight cents ahead of the analysts estimates. Exxon has exceeded the whisper number in only 18 of the 33 earnings reports we have data, including this past quarter. And last quarter the stock did see some positive price movement within five trading days following that report. Exxon reports earnings 10/28.

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WhisperNumber.com provides a premium service called the Whisper Reactors. This service identifies companies most likely to see price volatility according to whether or not they beat or miss the whisper. These companies have a high probability of positive price movement following the earnings report if they beat the whisper number, and negative price movement if they miss the whisper number. When these companies report earnings, we then provide an email alert (pre-market open) that includes company name and ticker, entry point and date, target price move, and exit point (between one and thirty trading days from earnings release).

To learn more, please visit http://www.whispernumber.com/signIn_wr.jsp.

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Data is provided for informational purposes only, and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, or that any investment strategy discussed is suitable for all investors. There is a very high degree of risk involved in the purchase and sale of securities and WhisperNumber.com and all individuals affiliated with Market Sentiment LLC assume no responsibilities for the trading and investment results of subscribers. Past results are not indicative of future returns. WhisperNumber.com and Market Sentiment LLC employees make no representations or guarantees, do not hold positions in any companies listed, and are not licensed brokers, analysts, or registered investment advisors. Data presented is based on sentiment research and analysis.

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